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America’s french fry king sounds an alarm

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Elbahrain.net Americans are revolting against McDonald’s and fast-food chains. That’s hurting french fry suppliers like Lamb Weston.

Lamb Weston, the largest producer of french fries in North America and a major supplier to fast-food chains, restaurants and grocery stores, is closing a production plant in Washington state. The company announced last week that it would lay off nearly 400 employees, or 4% of its workforce, and temporarily cut production lines in response to slowing customer demand.

Shares of Lamb Weston (LW) have dropped 35% this year.

The potato giant is oversupplied at a time when demand is sluggish. Restaurant prices in recent years have increased faster than grocery store prices, leading customers to pull back at fast-food chains.

“Many of these promotional meal deals have consumers trading down from a medium fry to a small fry,” Lamb Weston CEO Thomas Werner said last week on an earnings call.

Lamb Weston did not immediately respond to CNN’s request for comment.

McDonald’s, its largest customer, accounts for 13% of Lamb Weston’s sales. As McDonald’s goes, so goes Lamb Weston.

And McDonald’s is struggling. Sales at US restaurants open at least a year fell 0.7% last quarter from the same period a year earlier, dragged down by fewer customers visiting the chain.

Lamb Weston is also highly exposed to other fast-food chains, analyst R.J. Hottovy at analytics firm Placer.ai said in a research note to clients last week.

Customer traffic to fast-food chains dropped 2% last quarter and 3% the previous quarter compared to the same time last year, according to Lamb Weston.

Self-service kiosks at McDonald’s and other fast-food chains have loomed as job killers since they were first rolled out 25 years ago. But nobody predicted what actually happened.

In one of the earliest mentions of kiosks in fast-food settings in 1999, now-defunct trade industry publication Business Information said that McDonald’s was working to “develop an electronic order-taking system that may eventually replace some of its human equivalents.”

Instead, touchscreen kiosks have added extra work for kitchen staff and pushed customers to order more food than they do at the cash register. The kiosks show the unintended consequences of technology in fast-food and retail settings, including self-checkout. Chains are now experimenting with artificial intelligence at drive-thru lanes, and the experience with kiosks holds lessons for them.

Today, instead of replacing workers, companies deploy kiosks to transfer labor to other tasks like handing off pickup orders, help increase sales, easily adjust prices and speed up service. (Many chains, including Subway, Chick-fil-A and Starbucks, don’t use them much or at all.)

Kiosks “guarantee that the upsell opportunities” like a milkshake or fries are suggested to customers when they order, Shake Shack CEO Robert Lynch said on an earnings call last month. “Sometimes that is not always a priority for employees when you’ve got 40 people in line. You’re trying to get through it as quick as possible.” Kiosks also shift employees from behind the cash register to maintaining the dining area, delivering food to customers or working in the kitchen, he said.

Kiosks have also been threatened as a fast-food industry response to higher minimum wage laws.

“I told you so,” former McDonald’s CEO Ed Rensi said in 2016 after the company expanded kiosks. “I and others warned that union demands for a much higher minimum wage would force businesses with small profit margins to replace full-service employees with costly investments in self-service alternatives.”

California this year raised the minimum wage for the state’s fast food sector workers by $4 to $20. It raised a familiar refrain that those workers would be replaced by, such as kiosks.

But the quick-service and fast-casual segments of the restaurant industry continue to grow. Staffing levels were nearly 150,000 jobs, or 3%, above pre-pandemic levels, according to the latest Labor Department data.

Cans of Campbell’s cream of mushroom soup line a supermarket shelf in Bellingham, Washington, U.S. April 25, 2024.

Self-checkout also has not caused retail job losses. In some cases, self-checkout backfired for chains because self-checkout leads to higher merchandise losses from customer errors and more intentional shoplifting than when human cashiers are ringing up customers.

Fast-food chains and retailers need to do a better job communicating what the potential benefits of kiosks and self-checkout are to consumers and employees, Andrews said.

“What I think will be central for customers is that they see how this technology is providing them with more or better service rather than more unpaid busywork,” he said. “Otherwise, the public is just likely to view it as yet another attempt to reduce labor costs via automation and self-service.”

Over the past four years, Harris claims there is not much that she would have done differently than Biden.

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Over the past four years, Harris claims there is not much that she would have done differently than Biden.
Vice President Kamala Harris appears on The View on Tuesday, October 8

Over the past four years, Harris claims there is not much that she would have done differently than Biden.

With the exception of appointing a Republican to her Cabinet.

Vice President Kamala Harris stated on Tuesday that she could not think of anything she would have done differently than President Joe Biden over the previous four years.

In an interview with ABC’s “The View,” Harris stated, “There is not a thing that comes to mind in terms of – and I have been a part of most of the decisions that have had impact, the work that we have done.” Her Republican rivals quickly seized on this statement, which highlighted the delicate balance the vice president must walk between being obedient to her boss and persuading voters that she can usher in a new era in US politics.

Since replacing Biden at the top of the ticket in July, Harris has been campaigning as the face of a new generation of Democratic politicians. However, the response highlights a serious political issue for Harris: despite having made no significant concessions to her boss, Harris is running as a change candidate. .

Additionally, the Harris campaign has a challenge because of Biden’s dismal approval ratings.

Which are currently at 40% and 55%, respectively, according to CNN’s Poll of Polls.

In her response on The View, Harris cited a number of initiatives implemented by the Biden administration, such as funding US manufacturing sectors and restricting the price of insulin for seniors at $35 per month, which she said she planned to extend to all citizens. She underlined that they are “obviously two distinct people” with different life experiences.

Later, the vice president mentioned how, should she win the presidency, she would not be like Biden: “Listen, I plan on having a Republican in my cabinet,” Harris declared.

“You asked me, what’s the difference between Joe Biden and me? That, however, will be among the variations. I do not feel burdened by letting ego get in the way of a good idea, so I am going to have a Republican in my cabin,” she declared.

As CNN reported on Sunday, there is a debate within the campaign about breaking more with Biden. However, Harris has resisted calls from her top aides to highlight and illustrate the contrasts, citing particular polling data and the general desire for change they detect in the population.

The vice president has told aides in private conversations that she does not want to name these as differences with Biden because she thinks it could look disloyal.

Even on policies Harris has already announced that are clearly different from Biden, such as a change in the capital gains tax rate.

An expanded child tax credit, or a tougher border policy, one Democrat who has spoken with told CNN on Tuesday.

Her response to the well-liked chat show on ABC during the day soon became fuel for the Trump team and its allies.

In a social media post, Trump himself stated the border, US exit from Afghanistan, inflation, the war in Ukraine.

The October 7 attack on Israel by Hamas “AND MUCH MORE” should all have been items Harris cited as what she would have done differently than Biden.

“Her most inane response to date!” Trump said, calling the hosts of “The View” “degenerates,” and hurling several insults at the intelligence of the vice president.

JD Vance, a Republican running for vice president, chastised Harris for the statement.

You would think that after all this time, contemplating how she would approach things differently from Joe Biden.

She would be prepared to respond to questions on “The View.”

I can not really think of anything off the top of my head.

She responds when asked what one thing she would do differently from Joe Biden, Vance added.

“Now, in her defense, I am not sure she could think of anything off the top of her head, whether regarding Joe Biden’s policies or anything else,” Vance remarked, taking aim at Harris’ IQ.

Three siren emojis were added to a video of that exchange that was shared by the Trump War Room X account. “A vote for Kamala Harris is a vote for four more years of Biden’s policies on inflation, the border, and national security–only with even less competent leadership,” said Sen. Tom Cotton of Arkansas, a staunch supporter of Trump, in response to the event on X.

The Georgia Election Board wants to watch Atlanta-area voting in the 2020 election.

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The Georgia Election Board wants to watch Atlanta-area voting in the 2020 election.
Georgia's State Election Board members discuss proposals for election rule changes at the state capitol on September 20 in Atlanta

The Georgia Election Board

The Georgia Election Board wants to watch Atlanta-area voting in the 2020 election.

However, she acknowledged that the county ultimately has the final say in who keeps an eye on the precincts.

In the meantime, Fulton County has filed a lawsuit against the board.

Protesting the attempt to make it employ election doubters as observers.

The lawsuit claims that the State Election Board lacks the legal jurisdiction to compel the Fulton County Board of Registration and Elections (BRE).

To accept election monitors that the State Election Board has personally selected and to require Fulton County to cover the cost of those monitors.

Fulton County has already agreed to a monitoring team proposal that would include Ryan Germany. .

A former staff attorney for the Georgia secretary of state during the 2020 election.

As well as members of The Carter Center.

Former President Jimmy Carter’s non-profit organization which has been internationally acclaimed for its election monitoring.

However, Republican state election board members told CNN that due to prejudice.

Neither Germany nor the Carter Center should be permitted to serve as monitors.

According to Johnston, the Carter Center is well known for its ability to observe elections, but that was “in the past.”

Currently, Johnston remarked, “I frequently discover folks that come from partisan organizations.

Like the ACLU and Common Cause, when I meet people that they hire to be their volunteers through the Carter Center.”

Rather, Heather Honey—who previously worked with the Cyber Ninjas.

Who were criticized for months for dubious auditing practices—and Col.

Frank Ryan—who previously declined to certify election results—are the candidates that Johnston and her colleagues are endorsing. They are both essentially skeptical of the 2020 election results.

Johnston defended the board’s recommendation, saying.

The individual that you want is the person who pays attention to the details and reports fairly.

Three Trump-supporting members of the electoral board have passed many new regulations this year.

And the board has been the target of multiple legal challenges in addition to public praise from the president.

Fulton County clerk is subpoenaed by the Elections Board

Meanwhile, the board also passed a move on Tuesday sponsored by Johnston to subpoena the Fulton County clerk for access to election-related documents for an investigation into voter irregularities.

Despite the fact the state’s Republican attorney general indicated the probe can’t proceed.

The board reopened its investigation into claims that some 3,000 votes were counted twice in the 2020 recount this summer,

But Attorney General Chris Carr informed the board in an official opinion that it lacked legal basis to request that his agency look into the matter.

According to Johnston, Carr’s legal advice was simply that—an opinion—and it would not prevent the board from carrying out its own inquiry.

“My move is to complete the inquiry in that particular matter, and actually finish up that investigation,” Johnston said.

Republican Janelle King, a fellow election board member, claimed that Fulton County is acting dishonestly.

We would not be here if they had turned over these documents when we initially requested them. Had they collaborated with us with the monitoring team, we wouldn’t be here,” King told reporters Tuesday.

“The board does not wish to exert pressure on any particular county.

To those who continue to think that the Republican Party board members are assisting Trump.

Johnston said to CNN, “I have never met the man.”

Johnston stated that in the event that Fulton County failed to appear for its subpoena.

The board would confer with both its legal counsel and the attorney general.

The election board’s next meeting is not scheduled, but Tuesday was supposed to be the last one until the election on November 5.

The US military has put together a list of US weaponry that could support Ukraine in its conflict with Russia.

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The US military has put together a list of US weaponry that could support Ukraine in its conflict with Russia.
Ukrainian servicemen fire a self-propelled cannon towards Russian positions at a front line in the Donetsk region on September 27.

The US military has

The US military has put together a list of US weaponry that could support Ukraine in its conflict with Russia.

If supplied by the Biden administration, could aid Ukraine in its conflict with Russia.

These include NATO’s secure communications network and air-to-surface missiles.

Gen. Chris Cavoli listed a number of US capabilities that could aid the Ukrainian military in fighting more successfully in an annex to a classified.

Report about the Biden administration’s Ukraine strategy that was given to Congress early last month.

According to people familiar with the document.

The Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile, an air-launched cruise missile, and the Link 16 communications system, which the US and NATO use to share data, were on the list.

According to a second person acquainted with their requests, Ukraine has requested both systems on multiple occasions.

The reason the US has not offered the systems that Cavoli believes would be beneficial is not included in his list.

However, in the past, US officials have voiced concerns about critical US technology ending up in the hands of Russia.

Which one source claimed is probably the reason behind the Link 16 system’s delay.

The Ukrainians are still begging with the US to supply more sophisticated weapons and remove limitations on the use of US-supplied long-range missile systems, nearly three years into the conflict.

Furthermore, even though the US claims to be striving to ensure that Ukraine has what it needs to survive until at least the end of 2025.

The future of US support for Ukraine is unknown given that the US presidential election is less than one month away.

The Ukrainian government keeps up its vigorous lobbying.

According to people familiar with the meeting, President Volodymyr Zelensky brought a comprehensive list of targets within Russia that he intended to hit with US-supplied long-range missiles, or ATACMS.

When he met with President Joe Biden at the White House late last month. The list was not one of weapons.

A crucial component of Zelensky’s “success strategy” for winning the war is the list.

According to the sources, Biden did not completely reject the proposal, despite the fact that he has so far prevented the Ukrainians from deploying their missile systems for deep strikes into Russia. But in the end, he said nothing.

The leaders decided to continue talking about the matter.

However, Zelensky postponed a travel to Germany for a meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group this week, so Biden will not be seeing him again anytime soon.

Additionally, officials told CNN that it is doubtful that the US will alter its long-range missile policy.

In general, US authorities claim to be providing Ukraine with all the resources the US military determines Kiev currently requires to support its military campaign.

These drones are actually far more capable than the ATACMs.

However, the Ukrainians have contended that there are several Russian assets in the area that would be key targets.

Such as military sites and logistical and manufacturing centers.

To ensure that Ukraine gets what it needs through the end of 2025.

Launched in July, NATO has developed its own framework to facilitate military training and aid.

In over three years of conflict, Russia has lost hundreds of thousands of fighters.

At a national security conference on Monday at Sea Island, Georgia.

CIA Director Bill Burns stated that Putin “always assumes Americans have attention deficit disorder.

Critics assert that the administration’s strategy for winning in Ukraine is still unclear.

One person who read the paper claimed that. The Congress received classified strategy only loosely defined victory in terms of Ukrainian sovereignty and self-determination.

It proposed categories like reclaimed territory that might be used to assess success in another classified appendix.

But it gave no guidelines.

The situation on the battlefield is still hazy for the time being. Putin’s priority, according to officials, is the east of the country, where Russia has made steady progress. Earlier this year, Ukraine took control of a sizable portion of Russian land, which it is now holding. According to some officials, this move could extend Kyiv’s influence.

Mass exodus underway along Florida’s Gulf Coast as Hurricane Milton approaches

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Elbahrain.net Hurricane Milton has winds of 155 mph, which is still a Category 4 hurricane, according to the National Hurricane Center’s 5 a.m. ET update. The storm is about 560 miles southwest of Tampa, moving east-northeast at 12 mph.

The storm is expected to regain Category 5 strength Tuesday morning and maintain this strength through the day Tuesday. Milton is expected to make landfall as a major Category 3 hurricane late Wednesday.

“Milton has the potential to be one of the most destructive hurricanes on record for west-central Florida,” the hurricane center said. “Milton is still a relatively compact hurricane, but the wind field is expected to continue to grow in size as it approaches Florida. In fact, the official forecast shows the hurricane and tropical-storm-force winds roughly doubling in size by the time it makes landfall.”

This means the dangerous winds, life-threatening storm surge, and heavy rain are expected to impact areas far beyond the forecast cone.

Milton is currently completing an eyewall replacement cycle, meaning re-intensification should begin shortly, according to the hurricane center. An eyewall replacement cycle is a common in major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher). In an eyewall replacement cycle, a large outer eyewall develops and becomes dominant as the inner eyewall shrinks and collapses. This leads to slight weakening, but also tends to cause the size of the hurricane to increase. As the outer eyewall begins to tighten, the hurricane can strengthen once again.

Both the NOAA and Air Force hurricane hunters are scheduled to investigate Milton again this morning.

As disaster-weary communities in Florida prepare for another catastrophic storm, beloved local meteorologist John Morales became emotional while delivering his forecast on air Monday.

“It’s just an incredible, incredible, incredible hurricane. It has dropped — it has dropped 50 millibars in 10 hours,” Morales said, his voice breaking and becoming shaky as he spoke of the stunning drop in atmospheric pressure that accompanied Milton on Monday.

“I apologize. This is just horrific,” Morales said after he took a brief pause during an NBC6 in Miami broadcast.

Morales took to X later in the day to say, “extreme weather driven by global warming has changed me. Frankly, YOU should be shaken too, and demand #ClimateActionNow.”

Morales is fixture in the South Florida community and has helped guide residents through its major hurricanes including Andrew in 1992, a wave of Florida hurricanes in 2004 and 2005 that included Katrina and Wilma, and most recently Hurricane Matthew, Irma and Maria — which struck his native Puerto Rico.

Hurricane Milton has weakened momentarily and is now a Category 4 storm, according to an update from the National Hurricane Center.

The storm has winds of 155 mph, down from 165 mph. It is located about 585 miles southwest of Tampa, Florida and is moving east at 9 mph, the hurricane center said.

While the storm has dipped into Category 4 status, it is expected to regain Category 5 strength Tuesday morning and maintain this strength through the day. It is expected to fluctuate in intensity before ultimately making landfall on Wednesday as a Category 3 storm.

More than 12 million people are under hurricane watches and warnings, and over 8 million people are under tropical storm watches.

“Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area on the west coast of Florida as early as Wednesday afternoon, with tropical storm conditions beginning early Wednesday. Hurricane conditions could begin along the east coast of Florida in the watch areas on Wednesday night, with tropical storm conditions possible beginning Wednesday afternoon,” warns the hurricane center.

Rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with isolated totals up to 15 inches is possible across Florida through Thursday. The Florida Keys could see 4 to 7 inches of rainfall through Thursday as well. Nearly 20 million people are under flood watches across Florida.

Storm surge of 10 to 15 feet above ground is possible from the Anclote River to the north of Clearwater then south to Englewood, Florida, an area that includes Tampa Bay.

Israel expands ground offensive in Lebanon

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Elbahrain.net Israel’s military said it has expanded its “limited, localized, targeted operations” into southwestern Lebanon.

Israel’s 146th Division targeted operational activities against Hezbollah targets and infrastructure in southwestern Lebanon, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced Tuesday.

“The 146th Division is the first reserve division to operate in southern Lebanon as part of the ongoing operations against Hezbollah in the northern arena,” the IDF said, adding that the division “has served as a defensive regional brigade and its forces were deployed in northern Israel, the Gaza Strip” and the occupied West Bank.

The division will be working alongside the 213th Artillery Brigade.

The Israeli military’s ground incursion in southern Lebanon, which began a week ago, had been focused on the eastern part of the border area.

It’s morning in the Middle East and war is raging on multiple fronts. Here’s what to know

As the Israeli military battles Iran-backed militant groups on multiple fronts, the Middle East faces its greatest upheaval in a half-century.

Israel will “continue to fight,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed on the anniversary of the October 7 Hamas attacks. Israel has said its goal in Gaza is to eliminate Hamas and bring back the remaining hostages, but neither has been achieved a year into the war.

Israel intercepted dozens of strikes from multiple directions on the anniversary, including projectiles launched from northern Gaza and Lebanon, and a surface-to-surface missile fired from Yemen.

Israel has launched a new offensive in northern Gaza, where it has failed to defeat Hamas, and it continues to mull an anticipated retaliation against Iran for last week’s barrage of missiles.

Here are the latest developments in the region:

Department said there must be a path forward on “governance in Gaza by someone other than Hamas.”

Israel marked October 7: Israel marked the anniversary of the Hamas attacks with tears and anger on Monday. Commemorations were held across the country, including at the site of the Nova music festival and kibbutz Nir Oz.

On the anniversary of the October 7 Hamas attacks, Gaza’s north was hit with more Israeli strikes, with no end in sight to the war devastating the enclave. Israel’s objective of defeating Hamas still seems far from reach as its military offensives in Gaza continue to ramp up.

Israel launched a new ground operation in northern Gaza on Sunday and encircled the Jabalya refugee camp, where it says it saw signs of Hamas regrouping. Hamas’s military wing said its fighters clashed with “enemy forces” in Jabalya, an indication the group has been able to maintain a presence there. Earlier this year, Israel’s military said it had defeated Hamas in northern Gaza, only to announce new offensives there in May.

An Israeli airstrike killed at least 10 people in the Jabalya camp on Monday. The camp was targeted early on in Israel’s response to Hamas’ attacks one year ago and has been struck several times during the war.

The Israeli military also issued fresh evacuation orders to residents in northern and southern Gaza on Monday, as it ramped up its attacks in both parts of the pummeled enclave.

The war has displaced 1.9 million people, according to the United Nations. Residents who spoke to CNN said they feel there is no safe place to go.

A worker for the non-profit organization Mercy Corps that CNN spoke to said she has been displaced more than a dozen times since last year. She now lives in a shelter in central Gaza. CNN is not using her real name due to concerns for her safety.

Verify the facts: Walz misrepresents Trump’s positions on abortion and the economy.

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Verify the facts: Walz misrepresents Trump's positions on abortion and the economy.
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz speaks at a rally at York Exposition Center UPMC Arena on October 2 in York, Pennsylvania.

Walz misrepresents Trump’s positions

Verify the facts: Walz misrepresents Trump’s positions on abortion and the economy.

The governor of Minnesota and Democratic nominee for vice president Tim Walz made untrue statements on Sunday regarding the position of former President Donald Trump on abortion and the status of the economy after Trump left office.

A fact check of the two assertions is provided here. The campaign for Harris and Waldz chose not to respond.

Walz asserts a fake abortion

During a Sunday Fox News interview, Walz was questioned regarding the abortion laws in Minnesota. He talked about the topic before turning to Trump, the Republican front-runner. “Donald Trump is calling for a nationwide ban on abortion,” he stated.

First of all, Walz’s assertion is untrue. Trump is not “calling for” the outlawing of abortion nationally. Since the spring, President Trump has stated that he prefers state-by-state control over federal regulation of abortion rights. Furthermore, last week, Trump pledged to veto any federal abortion ban that Congress might enact.

Everybody knows that I would veto a federal abortion ban under any circumstances, as it is the responsibility of the states to make decisions based on the will of their voters, or the people. Last week, Trump posted on social media.

However, he is not endorsing a federal prohibition in the course of this campaign.

In March, Trump made a suggestion that he would declare his support for a 15-week nationwide ban. On the other hand, he declared in April that he preferred state autonomy over abortion laws.

Since then, he has stuck to that stance.

Moreover, he has declared time and time again since April that he would not sign a federal prohibition.

He reiterated this stance during the presidential debate last month.

When Walz points out that Trump declined to commit to vetoing a federal ban during the debate last month, it is fair game.

(Trump claimed, “I will not have to,” implying that Congress would never enact such a ban.).

Furthermore, we do not comment on Walz’s assertion that Trump “will” enact a nationwide ban because predictions about the future cannot be verified.

Walz has brought up Project 2025 on multiple occasions.

This was a conservative think tank project that engaged a number of former Trump administration officials though Trump was not one of them.

Some critics fear that the project’s proposal for the enforcement of an outdated statute that forbids the distribution of abortion-related drugs and devices could effectively outlaw abortion in the absence of new legislation.)

But Walz here went beyond recounting the history or predicting the future, making a claim about what Trump is apparently “asking for” at present. Furthermore, that assertion is false.

On Sunday, Walz’s staff shared the false claim video on his social media platforms, reiterating the allegation in the captions.

Walz’s incorrect economic assertion

Walz added in the Sunday interview that residents in Ohio, a state he visited Saturday.

Understand when (Trump) left office, we had more people unemployed, percentage-wise, than the Great Depression.”

First the facts: This is untrue.

When Trump departed office in January 2021, the unemployment rate stood at 6.4%.

A far cry from its peak of 14.8% in April 2020 during the pandemic.

On the other hand, during the Great Depression, which ran roughly from 1929 to 1939, the unemployment rate was above 20%, and for nearly the whole 1930s.

It was above 10%.

During her September debate with Trump, Vice President Kamala Harris made a similar, if less outrageous, incorrect statement when she said.

Donald Trump left us the greatest unemployment since the Great Depression.” That was not accurate, even with the important qualification “since”; as recently as 2014, the jobless rate was higher than 6.4%.

To win, Kamala Harris must overcome the fundamentals.

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To win, Kamala Harris must overcome the fundamentals.
Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a rally in Flint, Michigan, on October 4, 2024.

Kamala Harris must overcome

To win, Kamala Harris must overcome the fundamentals.

Former President Donald Trump should be running away with this election given how few people think the country is moving in the right direction.

Rather, Trump and Kamala Harris, the vice president, are tied in the polls. It is unclear now if Harris will be able to retain the support of so many voters who believe that our course is incorrect. It is evident that Harris must challenge certain fundamentals in order to prevail next month, and her past performance indicates that she may succeed.

When I refer to fundamentals, I mean inquiries that go beyond the horse race, such as asking citizens if they believe that the nation is on the right or wrong path.

That is significantly less than what it was in 2021, when Joe Biden assumed office, when that number was much more than 40%.

Whether the incumbent is running or not, a president’s party does not want to be at 28% a month before the election. In elections won by the party in power since 1980, 42% of Americans on average have said that things are going well in the nation.

That seems a lot like the current 28% who say as much.

Upon deeper inspection, the statistics show that in every case where less than 39% of voters believed that the nation was headed in the right path, the ruling party did not win reelection for another term.

Presidential approval ratings represent another basic that raises comparable concerns for Harris. It goes without saying that a president’s approval rating is less indicative when the incumbent is not seeking reelection. Still, it carries some modicum of importance.

These are just two examples of public opinion indicators that will hurt Harris’ chances of winning in November.

Ranging from party identification to contentment with the economy to presidential approval. Of those ten, eight were thought to be favorable to Trump. The other two had no opinion. Not one of the ten suggested that Harris would win.

Even though these facts favor Trump, Harris might have an advantage because of the 2022 midterm elections.

According to my average of polls. Only 26% of Americans believed that the country was headed in the right direction.

Prior to a midterm, that 26% was the lowest percentage in the preceding forty years.

In other words, the Democratic Party did not benefit from many, if any, of the metrics in 2022.

Democrats, however, bucked the trends of the midterm elections, maintaining single-digit House losses, increasing their Senate majority, and gaining governorships.

The two main elements that arguably contributed most to Democrats’ success are still in place today: Abortion and Trump.

Trump still boasts a net unfavorable rating with American voters. If he wins the presidency next month, he would be the least popular candidate to accomplish it. Except for Trump himself in 2016. In practically every poll, Harris is more popular than the outgoing president.

Two years after Roe v. Wade was reversed, abortion remains one of the most popular issues, and this autumn. Ballot initiatives to increase access to abortion will be on the ballot in several states. Recall that during the 50 years prior to Roe, every presidential election occurred. With so many voters outraged at the removal of federal safeguards for abortion. It is difficult to predict what will happen.

As they say, history is not always meant to be repeated, but the past is frequently prologue.

Following DeSantis’ refusal to answer calls from Biden and Harris regarding storm recovery, the White House withdraws.

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Following DeSantis' refusal to answer calls from Biden and Harris regarding storm recovery, the White House withdraws.
In this September 24 photo, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis speaks about state preparedness for the impending tropical storm at the Emergency Operations Center in Tallahassee, Florida

Biden and Harris regarding

Following DeSantis’ refusal to answer calls from Biden and Harris regarding storm recovery, the White House withdraws.

As officials continue hurricane recovery work and get ready for another to make landfall later this week.

The White House chastised Ron DeSantis over allegations that the Republican governor of Florida had turned down calls from President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris.

At the press briefing on Monday, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said.

“It is up to him if he wants to respond to us or not.”

Since Hurricane Helene made landfall in his state, Harris has contacted DeSantis several times, a White House insider told CNN. But the governor has not returned the vice president’s calls.

DeSantis turned down Biden’s invitation to accompany him on his storm damage survey last week in Florida.

Opting instead to conduct a press conference with media four hours south of the president’s tour route.

“Obviously, we were in Florida, and we invited the governor of Florida to come. It was his option not to attend or not be there with the president,” Jean-Pierre stated. “We invited the governor, right, to come and evaluate the damage regions with the president.” “With regard to Hurricane Helene, the president has made contact. He made contact. The governor is ultimately in charge in this matter.”

Regarding information regarding outreach between Biden, Harris, and the DeSantis campaign. CNN has contacted the White House, the Harris campaign, and the DeSantis office.

The initial report on DeSantis not returning Harris’ calls came from NBC News.

The governor of Florida has previously declined to meet with Biden after a natural disaster In 2023.

He rejected to meet with Biden on a trip to the state following Hurricane Idalia, even after the president claimed he’d planned to meet with the Republican governor.

DeSantis and FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell spoke on the phone on Sunday about the hurricane preparations for Milton.

Which is expected to hit Florida on Wednesday.

Jean-Pierre replied, “She talked with him about Milton yesterday.” “And we will undoubtedly keep prepositioning on the ground, providing the people with anything they require at any time. That is our pledge.

Regardless of whether DeSantis answers calls from the president or vice president, the press secretary stressed that the federal government is still committed to disaster recovery in the state.

The governor should talk to himself about that. If the president and vice president reach out to support your constituents, the people who live in your state, to ensure that we are taking all necessary federal action, and we are reaching out, offering our support, then the governor has the option to respond to us or not, the representative stated.

Then she went on, “But what we are doing is working with state and local leaders to make sure that we are pre-positioned to make sure that we are doing the necessary job and that we are ready to be there for the areas that are going to be impacted.”

The press secretary stated that a “strong all-of-government” response will be given by federal officials.

“And for everything else, I would have to let the governor take his own steps and decide how he wanted to proceed with this. That is a question for the governor, not for him,” she remarked.

Israeli kibbutz struggles to heal, one year after 7 October

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Elbahrain.net A few metres from a charred home in Kibbutz Be’eri, Simon King tends to a patch of ground in the sunshine. The streets around him are eerily quiet, the silence punctuated only by the sound of air strikes that ring in the near distance.

In this community alm ost a year ago, 101 people were killed after gunmen from Hamas and other groups rampaged through Be’eri’s tree-lined streets, burning homes and shooting people indiscriminately. Another 30 residents and their family members were taken to Gaza as hostages.

Survivors hid in safe rooms all day and long into the night – exchanging horrifying details with each other over community WhatsApp groups, as they tried to make sense of what was happening.

The kibbutz was a strong community, where people lived and operated together as one. Neighbours were more like extended family. It is one of a small number of kibbutzim in Israel that still operates as a collective.

But now, post-7 October, the collective is splintered – psychologically and physically.

About one in 10 were killed. Only a few of the survivors have returned to their homes. Some travel back to the kibbutz daily to work, but can’t face overnight stays. Many, after months in a hotel, are now living in prefabricated buildings on another kibbutz 40km (25 miles) away.

The community, built up over nearly 80 years, is being tested like never before, and its future is uncertain.

There are reminders everywhere of those who didn’t survive – says Dafna Gerstner, who grew up in Be’eri, and spent 19 terrifying hours on 7 October holed up in a safe room – designed to protect residents from rocket attacks.

“You look to the left and it’s like, ‘Oh it’s my friend who lost her parents.’ You look to the right, ‘It’s my friend who lost her father,’ [and then] ‘She lost her mother.’ It’s everywhere you look.”

Inside Be’eri, surrounded by a high fence topped with barbed wire, you are never far from a house completely burnt or destroyed, or an empty patch of land where a home, wrecked that day, has been demolished.

Some streets might, upon first glance, appear almost untouched – but look closely and even there you will see markings spray-painted on walls by military units on or after 7 October. Houses where people were killed or kidnapped have black banners on the facades with their names and photos.

In the carcass of one burnt-out home, a board game rests on top of a coffee table, next to a melted television remote control. Food, long-rotten, is still in the fridge-freezer and the smell of burning lingers.

“Time stood still in the house,” says Dafna, 40, as she pokes through the ash-covered wreckage. She and her family had been playing that board game on the eve of the attacks.

Here, her disabled father and his Filipina carer hid for hours in their fortified safe room, as their home burned down around them. Dafna says it is a miracle they both survived.

Her brother did not. A member of Be’eri’s emergency response squad, he was killed in a gunfight at the kibbutz’s dental clinic. Dafna was staying in his house at the time, on a visit from her home in Germany.

Dozens of buildings in Be’eri are spattered with bullet holes – including the nursery. The play park and petting zoo are empty. No children have moved back, and the animals have been sent to new homes.

The kibbutz’s empty streets sometimes come alive, though, in a surprising way – with organised tours for visitors, who give donations.

Israeli soldiers, and some civilians from Israel and abroad, come to see the broken homes, and hear accounts of the devastation, in order to understand what happened.

Two of those who volunteer to lead the tours, Rami Gold and Simon King, say they are determined to ensure what happened here is remembered.

Simon, 60, admits this can be a difficult process.

“There’s a lot of mixed feelings and [the visitors] don’t really know what to ask but they can see and hear and smell… it’s a very heavy emotional experience.”

Rami, 70, says these occasions are often followed by restless nights. Each tour, he says, takes him back to 7 October.

He is one of the few who moved back to Be’eri after the attacks.

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